Realistically, while some of you guys are getting fairly dependable incomes from milk, and based on forward prices for grain, you can work out the financial benefit of spreading fertilizer at specific levels, with the volatility of beef prices and the unknown of weanling prices, I can't justify the risk of buying more than 50% of our normal amount of fertilizer - the margin just isn't in it to cover the risk. I think that a lot of farmers in my situation won't spread very much, and a good proportion none at all. Personally, I will spread a small amount. But, on the other hand, I will used some of the savings to spread lime. I will put a lot more focus on FYM and slurry for the first 6 months of 2022 anyway and if there is no easement in fertilizer prices by then, I see no other option but to cut cattle numbers to match what grass we are able to grow